API or Codex downtime and issues raise the odds.
48-HOUR FORECAST
Will Codex reset?
Reading the signals...
Checking the live OpenAI status feed.
WHAT TO DO
Stand by your tokens.
--%
LIKELIHOOD
Connecting to the incident desk...
CHANGE LOG
Why the number moved
- Checking recent score changes...
THE IMPORTANT CAVEAT
Weather, but for tokens.
This is a transparent estimate built from public announcements, fresh incidents, and hints. A recent reset lowers the odds of another one. Quiet days do not make a reset overdue.
THE SIGNAL DESK
Announcements first. Softer evidence fades with age, and repeated hints count once.
Team vagueposting raises the odds.
Open @thsottiaux on X ↗Potential releases, parties, and events raise the odds.
A recent reset lowers the odds of another immediate refill.
The math is inspectable. The decisions behind actual resets are not. Please spend tokens based on your work, not our tiny digital weather station.