Bugs, outages, and degraded Codex performance raise the odds.
UNOFFICIAL QUOTA METEOROLOGY
Will Codex reset?
A weather report for the brief, strange window between ordinary usage and unexpected generosity.
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NEXT 48 HOURS
Reading the clouds...
Checking the live OpenAI status feed.
THE VERDICT
Stand by your tokens.
Connecting to the incident desk...
HOW WE GUESS
We check the same public clues that tend to show up before Tibo presses the reset button.
Fixes, launches, milestones, and vagueposting raise the odds.
A recent reset lowers the odds of another immediate refill.
THE SHORT VERSION
More breakage or more vagueposting = higher odds. A fresh reset = lower odds.
It is a transparent heuristic, not a serious statistical model. The historical pattern is mostly incident compensation, product launches, user milestones, and the occasional immaculate vibe.